Wall, Street

Wall Street Analysts Revise Outlook on Apple, Citing Strategic AI Positioning

10.12.2025 - 14:44:04

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A notable shift in sentiment is underway among financial analysts covering Apple Inc. The technology giant, whose cautious approach to artificial intelligence spending was once viewed as a competitive weakness, is now being praised for its strategic discipline. This revised perspective has prompted a series of price target upgrades from major Wall Street firms, with several pointing to 2026 as a pivotal year for the company's AI ambitions.

The bullish analyst calls are underpinned by robust financial results. Apple's most recent fourth fiscal quarter delivered record revenue of $102.5 billion, representing an 8 percent increase. Management's guidance for the December quarter projects revenue growth between 10 and 12 percent, with iPhone sales anticipated to grow at a double-digit rate. Citi analyst Atif Malik highlighted additional potential, noting that users of iPhone 12 and 13 models are now entering a natural upgrade cycle. The company's installed base of iPhones has reached an all-time high, setting the stage for what Apple expects to be its highest-revenue iPhone quarter in history.

This fundamental strength follows a significant recovery in the company's share price. After declining 18 percent in the first half of 2025—making it the second-worst performer among the so-called "Magnificent Seven" tech stocks—Apple's shares have rallied 35 percent over the subsequent six months. The equity reached a record high of $288.62 on December 3.

A Series of Upgraded Price Targets

The optimistic shift crystallized in a wave of revised forecasts from top analysts within a single week:

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  • Wedbush increased its price target to $350, up from $320.
  • Citi raised its target to $330, from a previous $315.
  • Evercore ISI boosted its target to $325, having previously stood at $300.

Dan Ives, a prominent analyst at Wedbush, articulated a common view, stating that 2026 will be the year Apple "finally enters the AI revolution in a meaningful way." He also noted strong early indicators for the iPhone 17, including within the critical Chinese market.

Prudent Strategy Viewed as an Advantage

Analysts are reframing Apple's measured capital allocation towards artificial intelligence. While peers like Meta and Microsoft have undertaken massive AI investments that pressure their profit margins, Apple's relative restraint is increasingly seen as a prudent long-term advantage. This fiscal discipline appears to be resonating positively with investors.

Concurrently, the company is restructuring its AI leadership team. John Giannandrea, who has overseen machine learning and AI strategy, is scheduled to retire in the spring of 2026. He will be succeeded by Amar Subramanya, a former Microsoft executive who spent 16 years at Google, where he led development of the Gemini Assistant. CEO Tim Cook has emphasized that Senior Vice President of Software Engineering Craig Federighi will centrally drive AI initiatives going forward, with a particular focus on advancing the Siri platform.

Potential Partnership on the Horizon

Further catalyzing the positive outlook is the potential for a deepened collaboration with Google. Market observers suggest a more formal partnership involving Google's Gemini AI could be officially announced in early 2026. Such an alliance would allow Apple to accelerate the integration of advanced AI capabilities into its ecosystem without the immediate need for burdensome internal infrastructure expenditure, aligning with its capital-efficient strategy.

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