Golub Capital BDC Expands in Europe as NAV Dips Despite Solid Q1

In tandem with the international push, Golub Capital BDC reported its fiscal first quarter results for the period ending December 31. The results point to steady earnings while tangible asset value gave back a bit of ground. In response to the stock?s recent performance, management unveiled a significant share repurchase, acquiring 2.6 million shares for about $35.9 million.

Key metrics at a glance:
- Net investment income (NII): $0.37 per share
- Total revenues: $207.01 million
- NAV: $14.84 (previous quarter: $14.97)
- Quarterly dividend: $0.33 per share

Analysts broadly maintain a constructive stance, with the consensus rating tilting toward a buy. Price targets are clustered between $13.00 and $17.00. Notably, Oppenheimer reaffirmed its stance recently with a $16.00 target, while Wells Fargo appears more modest at $13.00.

Headwinds for the sector remain evident. The ecosystem for business development companies (BDCs) has grown more challenging, in part due to softness in the private-debt market focused on software, where valuations for equity stakes have come under pressure. Financing costs within the sector have also risen measurably, hovering in roughly the 11%?14% range.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Golub Capital BDC?

Going forward, investors will be watching how the European expansion fits within Golub?s broader strategy. The company plans to pay the $0.33 per share dividend on March 30, which translates to an annualized payout of $1.32 per share. A key question for the stock?s trajectory will be whether the profits from new business can offset higher funding costs and the modest decline in NAV.

In summary, Golub Capital BDC continues to pursue growth overseas via its CLO platform, while delivering a mixed near-term picture on asset values and profitability. The execution of the European strategy and the ability of the new business to contribute meaningfully will help determine the next leg of its earnings path.

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